ASV Neumarkt vs Fortuna Regensburg analysis

ASV Neumarkt Fortuna Regensburg
34 ELO 30
3.6% Tilt 3%
5999º General ELO ranking 4298º
303º Country ELO ranking 192º
ELO win probability
51%
ASV Neumarkt
21.1%
Draw
27.9%
Fortuna Regensburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
ASV Neumarkt
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
27.9%
Win probability
Fortuna Regensburg
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ASV Neumarkt
-57%
-10%
Fortuna Regensburg

Points and table prediction

ASV Neumarkt
Their league position
Fortuna Regensburg
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
14º
12º
48
14º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hankofen-Hailing
71
71
100%
VfB Eichstätt
68
68
100%
Eltersdorf
67
67
100%
TSV Abtswind
59
59
100%
Ingolstadt 04 II
55
58
90.5%
Bayern Hof
58
58
90.5%
ASV Cham
55
55
100%
Ammerthal
54
54
0%
Neudrossenfeld
54
54
0%
DJK Gebenbach
10º
52
52
10º
0%
Jahn Regensburg II
11º
52
52
11º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
12º
52
52
12º
100%
ATSV Erlangen
13º
52
52
13º
0%
TSV Kornburg
14º
49
49
14º
100%
Fortuna Regensburg
15º
48
48
15º
100%
FC Coburg
16º
41
41
16º
100%
Würzburger FV
17º
27
27
17º
100%
SV Donaustauf
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Feucht SC
19º
16
16
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
ASV Neumarkt
Fortuna Regensburg
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

ASV Neumarkt
Fortuna Regensburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ASV Neumarkt
ASV Neumarkt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2024
FEU
Feucht SC
0 - 1
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
15%
18%
67%
33 20 13 0
24 Feb. 2024
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
2 - 1
Ammerthal
AMM
25%
21%
54%
31 39 8 +2
17 Feb. 2024
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
2 - 2
Neudrossenfeld
NEU
34%
23%
44%
31 38 7 0
27 Jan. 2024
NUR
Nürnberg II
3 - 0
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
79%
13%
8%
31 49 18 0
11 Nov. 2023
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
1 - 0
Hankofen-Hailing
HAH
20%
20%
59%
29 41 12 +2

Matches

Fortuna Regensburg
Fortuna Regensburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2024
REG
Fortuna Regensburg
0 - 5
TSV Abtswind
TSV
44%
22%
34%
33 38 5 0
24 Feb. 2024
FCC
FC Coburg
3 - 3
Fortuna Regensburg
REG
28%
21%
51%
33 26 7 0
25 Nov. 2023
BAY
Bayern Hof
1 - 2
Fortuna Regensburg
REG
45%
22%
33%
33 35 2 0
18 Nov. 2023
REG
Fortuna Regensburg
4 - 2
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
41%
22%
38%
30 36 6 +3
11 Nov. 2023
REG
Fortuna Regensburg
2 - 3
Feucht SC
FEU
88%
8%
4%
30 18 12 0