SV Ried II vs TUS Bad Gleichenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
9º
16º
14º
33
7º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Ried II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
DLB
1 - 2
NEU
74%
16%
11%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 1
GDF
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 0
BUC
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
ALL
2 - 3
NEU
60%
20%
19%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NEU
0 - 3
SVW
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
TUS Bad Gleichenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
TBG
1 - 1
GDF
39%
23%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SVW
5 - 1
TBG
68%
17%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
TBG
1 - 2
KAL
70%
17%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
GNA
2 - 6
TBG
22%
21%
57%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
STU
1 - 0
TBG
77%
13%
9%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |