SV Ried II vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
68.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Ried II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
STA
5 - 2
NEU
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
NEU
1 - 2
ALL
17%
22%
61%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
GUR
2 - 1
NEU
73%
17%
9%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
STU
5 - 0
NEU
75%
16%
10%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
NEU
0 - 0
WEL
82%
13%
6%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
STU
2 - 1
DLB
60%
20%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
STU
2 - 2
ADM
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
TBG
2 - 2
STU
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
STU
2 - 1
GDF
38%
24%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
STU
5 - 0
NEU
75%
16%
10%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |