SV Ried II vs St. Marienkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
40.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Ried II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
BAD
2 - 0
NEU
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
NEU
1 - 0
UNP
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
3 - 0
NEU
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
NEU
0 - 1
DON
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
GMU
1 - 0
NEU
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
St. Marienkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
SVW
16%
18%
66%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
HER
8 - 2
MAR
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
ASV
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GRI
0 - 2
MAR
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
OED
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |