Neudrossenfeld vs ATSV Erlangen analysis

Neudrossenfeld ATSV Erlangen
49 ELO 54
-2.4% Tilt 5%
5327º General ELO ranking 4347º
262º Country ELO ranking 194º
ELO win probability
33.5%
Neudrossenfeld
27.2%
Draw
39.3%
ATSV Erlangen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
Neudrossenfeld
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39.3%
Win probability
ATSV Erlangen
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neudrossenfeld
-1%
-11%
ATSV Erlangen

Points and table prediction

Neudrossenfeld
Their league position
ATSV Erlangen
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
12º
10º
4
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fortuna Regensburg
6
68
44.5%
ASV Cham
6
63
15.5%
Ingolstadt 04 II
16º
0
61
11.5%
Eltersdorf
15º
0
61
15.5%
Jahn Regensburg II
3
54
13%
ATSV Erlangen
4
52
11.5%
Weiden
3
49
9%
Bayern Hof
13º
1
46
6.5%
TSV Kornburg
4
46
7%
Neudrossenfeld
3
46
10º
9.5%
DJK Gebenbach
17º
0
43
11º
13%
Eintracht Bamberg
3
40
12º
13%
Würzburger FV
11º
2
39
13º
13%
ASV Neumarkt
14º
0
36
14º
17%
FSV Stadeln
3
22
15º
35.5%
FC Coburg
10º
3
17
16º
38%
SC Großschwarzenlohe
12º
1
15
17º
44.5%
Expected probabilities
Neudrossenfeld
ATSV Erlangen
Promotion
1.5% 1.5%
Promotion play-offs
1.5% 9%
Mid-table
79.5% 83.5%
Relegation
17.5% 6%

ELO progression

Neudrossenfeld
ATSV Erlangen
ASV Cham
Würzburger FV
ASV Neumarkt
DJK Gebenbach
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neudrossenfeld
Neudrossenfeld
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2025
ELT
Eltersdorf
5 - 1
Neudrossenfeld
NEU
61%
23%
17%
50 62 12 0
10 May. 2025
REG
Fortuna Regensburg
9 - 2
Neudrossenfeld
NEU
65%
19%
16%
51 55 4 -1
02 May. 2025
NEU
Neudrossenfeld
2 - 2
Ingolstadt 04 II
ING
21%
23%
57%
50 59 9 +1
26 Apr. 2025
EIC
VfB Eichstätt
2 - 1
Neudrossenfeld
NEU
66%
20%
14%
50 59 9 0
19 Apr. 2025
NEU
Neudrossenfeld
1 - 0
Weiden
WEI
41%
26%
33%
48 48 0 +2

Matches

ATSV Erlangen
ATSV Erlangen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jun. 2025
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
0 - 6
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
24%
23%
54%
54 62 8 0
17 May. 2025
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
6 - 1
FC Eintracht Münchberg
FCE
66%
20%
14%
54 34 20 0
09 May. 2025
ELT
Eltersdorf
1 - 0
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
55%
26%
20%
54 61 7 0
02 May. 2025
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
4 - 5
Fortuna Regensburg
REG
39%
26%
35%
54 53 1 0
25 Apr. 2025
ING
Ingolstadt 04 II
1 - 0
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
58%
23%
20%
53 57 4 +1