Neuchâtel Xamax vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LEM
1 - 0
NEX
15%
21%
64%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 2
NEX
16%
23%
61%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
NEX
3 - 4
SIO
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NEX
2 - 0
SCH
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
NEX
4 - 1
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
WIN
3 - 2
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 2
WIN
44%
25%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
STA
0 - 3
WIN
17%
22%
62%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
WIN
3 - 0
WIL
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LEM
1 - 1
WIN
30%
26%
45%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |