Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis

Neuchâtel Xamax Thun
71 ELO 83
8.9% Tilt 10.7%
1670º General ELO ranking 454º
21º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
20.7%
Neuchâtel Xamax
23.2%
Draw
56.1%
Thun

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.1%
Win probability
Thun
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neuchâtel Xamax
-14%
+2%
Thun

Points and table prediction

Neuchâtel Xamax
Their league position
Thun
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
72
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Thun
72
72
100%
Aarau
61
61
100%
Etoile Carouge
54
54
100%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
53
53
100%
FC Wil
53
53
100%
FC Vaduz
51
51
100%
AC Bellinzona
44
44
100%
Neuchâtel Xamax
41
41
100%
Stade Nyonnais
36
36
100%
Schaffhausen
10º
25
28
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Neuchâtel Xamax
Thun
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Neuchâtel Xamax
Thun
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2025
STA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
59%
22%
19%
71 78 7 0
11 Apr. 2025
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 1
Aarau
FCA
23%
23%
54%
71 79 8 0
06 Apr. 2025
FCV
FC Vaduz
2 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
54%
24%
23%
71 76 5 0
31 Mar. 2025
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
6 - 2
Schaffhausen
SCH
51%
24%
25%
70 67 3 +1
28 Mar. 2025
THU
Thun
2 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
68%
20%
12%
70 82 12 0

Matches

Thun
Thun
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2025
THU
Thun
7 - 0
FC Wil
WIL
58%
23%
20%
82 74 8 0
11 Apr. 2025
STA
Stade Nyonnais
0 - 2
Thun
THU
13%
21%
66%
82 65 17 0
04 Apr. 2025
THU
Thun
3 - 0
Schaffhausen
SCH
73%
18%
9%
82 66 16 0
31 Mar. 2025
STA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3 - 0
Thun
THU
28%
25%
48%
82 76 6 0
28 Mar. 2025
THU
Thun
2 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
68%
20%
12%
82 70 12 0