Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
8º
8º
72
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
STA
0 - 0
NEX
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCA
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FCV
2 - 1
NEX
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
NEX
6 - 2
SCH
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
THU
2 - 1
NEX
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
THU
7 - 0
WIL
58%
23%
20%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
STA
0 - 2
THU
13%
21%
66%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
THU
3 - 0
SCH
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
STA
3 - 0
THU
28%
25%
48%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
THU
2 - 1
NEX
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |