Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
7º
4º
76
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
STA
0 - 2
NEX
54%
23%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
NEX
0 - 1
BEL
43%
25%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FCV
5 - 3
NEX
50%
25%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
NEX
1 - 1
BAD
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
NEX
6 - 1
BRE
59%
21%
21%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
THU
1 - 0
FCA
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
THU
23%
24%
54%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
THU
4 - 1
STA
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 0
THU
16%
22%
62%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
THU
4 - 0
VEV
85%
12%
4%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |