Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
64.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCV
15%
20%
66%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STA
2 - 1
NEX
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 1
NEX
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ASI
1 - 5
NEX
4%
10%
86%
|
56 | 10 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
NEX
0 - 1
LAU
21%
25%
54%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
STA
2 - 2
THU
27%
25%
49%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
THU
2 - 0
LAU
35%
26%
38%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 1
THU
28%
24%
48%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
BUL
0 - 4
THU
13%
17%
70%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FCV
2 - 4
THU
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |