Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
66%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
10º
10º
49
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 2
NEX
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
NEX
0 - 1
WIL
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
YVE
2 - 0
NEX
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
STA
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 1
NEX
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
STA
2 - 2
THU
28%
24%
48%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
THU
2 - 3
FCA
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 2
THU
29%
24%
47%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
THU
2 - 0
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LAU
1 - 3
THU
45%
25%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |