Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
10º
10º
49
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 3
NEX
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
NEX
1 - 1
SCH
18%
22%
60%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
LAU
2 - 1
NEX
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
NEX
4 - 0
BEL
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
THU
2 - 1
NEX
68%
20%
13%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
LAU
2 - 1
THU
49%
24%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
THU
1 - 3
YVE
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
THU
0 - 2
STA
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 2
THU
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
THU
2 - 1
NEX
68%
20%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |