Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 1
NEX
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
NEX
0 - 0
WIN
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 0
NEX
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
NEX
2 - 4
FCV
26%
24%
50%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
THU
1 - 2
NEX
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
THU
3 - 1
KRI
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
FCV
0 - 2
THU
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
THU
2 - 1
STA
45%
26%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
KRI
0 - 1
THU
11%
18%
72%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
THU
1 - 2
NEX
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |