Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
GCZ
1 - 1
NEX
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
NEX
3 - 3
ZUR
30%
24%
46%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 0
NEX
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
NEX
4 - 1
SIO
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
STG
2 - 1
NEX
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
THU
1 - 1
YOB
15%
20%
65%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
FCG
2 - 6
THU
15%
21%
65%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2010 |
THU
1 - 0
LUG
39%
24%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
YVE
3 - 3
THU
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
THU
1 - 1
WOH
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |