Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
NEX
1 - 2
FCA
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
SIO
2 - 0
NEX
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
BEL
0 - 0
NEX
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
GCZ
2 - 0
NEX
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
NEX
3 - 1
YOB
28%
24%
47%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
GCZ
4 - 0
THU
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
THU
1 - 3
BAS
22%
24%
54%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 0
THU
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
STG
3 - 0
THU
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
THU
0 - 1
FCL
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |