Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2005 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCA
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
NEX
0 - 4
BAS
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
NEX
0 - 1
YOB
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2005 |
NEX
2 - 1
STG
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
SCH
2 - 1
NEX
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2005 |
THU
1 - 1
YOB
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
BAS
4 - 1
THU
67%
19%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
STG
1 - 2
THU
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
THU
2 - 5
GCZ
51%
23%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2005 |
THU
5 - 1
ZUR
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |