Neuchâtel Xamax vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
SER
0 - 0
NEX
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
WIL
0 - 2
NEX
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
YOB
3 - 1
NEX
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
NEX
3 - 0
WIL
54%
23%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
ZUR
1 - 1
NEX
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
THU
1 - 2
GCZ
22%
21%
57%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
ZUR
1 - 1
THU
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
THU
1 - 4
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
YOB
1 - 0
THU
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
THU
1 - 1
WIL
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |