Neuchâtel Xamax vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
NEX
2 - 0
ALL
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 20 | 48 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NEX
3 - 1
POR
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 23 | 45 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 3
NEX
14%
21%
65%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
NEX
1 - 1
ALL
83%
12%
5%
|
68 | 27 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
COL
1 - 2
NEX
13%
20%
67%
|
68 | 14 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LYS
5 - 3
MOU
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
MOU
86%
10%
5%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MOU
0 - 0
LIE
63%
19%
17%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LAU
1 - 2
MOU
22%
22%
56%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MOU
4 - 2
ALL
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |