Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
58.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 1
NEX
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
NEX
3 - 0
WIL
51%
24%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
YVE
1 - 1
NEX
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LAC
0 - 6
NEX
7%
12%
82%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
NEX
4 - 2
FCA
25%
23%
53%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAS
17%
22%
61%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SIO
3 - 2
LUG
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
LAC
1 - 7
LUG
4%
12%
84%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 1
STG
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
SER
0 - 2
LUG
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |