Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
NEX
2 - 1
SER
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
YVE
4 - 0
NEX
46%
25%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
NEX
1 - 3
GCZ
26%
24%
51%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
BAS
5 - 1
NEX
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2000 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCL
52%
23%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
SIO
3 - 2
LUG
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
LUG
2 - 2
LAU
32%
26%
43%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
ZUR
1 - 2
LUG
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCA
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
STG
1 - 1
LUG
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |