Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 1
NEX
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
VAS
1 - 0
NEX
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 1999 |
NEX
0 - 2
VAS
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1999 |
NEX
2 - 0
SHE
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
SER
1 - 3
LUG
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAS
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1999 |
DEL
1 - 2
LUG
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCA
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
YOB
0 - 3
LUG
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |