Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 1
NEX
35%
29%
36%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1992 |
NEX
0 - 0
SER
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
ZUR
0 - 0
NEX
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1992 |
NEX
2 - 0
LAU
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1992 |
NEX
0 - 0
STG
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1992 |
LUG
4 - 1
FCA
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
ZUR
2 - 1
LUG
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
LAU
1 - 1
LUG
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1992 |
LUG
1 - 1
SER
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1992 |
LUG
0 - 1
CHI
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |