Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1989 |
SIO
2 - 4
NEX
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1989 |
NEX
2 - 1
YOB
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1989 |
NEX
3 - 2
YOB
57%
22%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 1989 |
GCZ
2 - 1
NEX
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1989 |
NEX
0 - 1
FCL
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1989 |
LUG
1 - 2
GCZ
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 2
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
FCW
1 - 1
LUG
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
LUG
1 - 6
SER
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
LUG
0 - 2
LAU
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |