Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
5º
9º
9º
0
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
9º
|
0 | 31 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
0 | 31 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 29 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
0 | 26 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 26 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 25 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 22 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 20 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
2º
|
1 | 17 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
3º
|
1 | 17 |
10º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 8.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 72% |
|
Relegation
|
22.5% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
NEX
1 - 1
STA
52%
24%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
NEX
2 - 3
SER
23%
23%
55%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
NEX
1 - 0
BIE
42%
23%
35%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
BOU
0 - 0
NEX
33%
24%
43%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
FCL
2 - 0
NEX
66%
20%
15%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
FCV
0 - 1
DUN
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
FCV
0 - 1
MUN
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCV
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FCV
2 - 4
ALT
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
FCV
0 - 1
LAN
80%
14%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |