Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
52.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
7º
4º
49
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 2
NEX
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
BAD
0 - 4
NEX
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
NEX
2 - 2
WIL
29%
25%
47%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 0
NEX
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
STA
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 2
WIL
44%
25%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
ALT
2 - 1
FCV
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SIO
3 - 3
FCV
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 2
BAD
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
THU
2 - 1
FCV
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |