Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
10º
10º
37
6º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 1
NEX
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
NEX
3 - 0
BEL
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
LAU
2 - 1
NEX
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
STA
2 - 0
NEX
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
THU
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 2
STA
36%
27%
38%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 0
FCV
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
FCB
0 - 4
FCV
5%
11%
84%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FCV
0 - 1
FCA
30%
24%
46%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
THU
3 - 3
FCV
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |