Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NEX
2 - 1
GRA
85%
11%
5%
|
65 | 31 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
LUZ
1 - 3
NEX
15%
21%
64%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
NEX
1 - 3
FCA
40%
23%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
NEX
3 - 0
WAN
89%
9%
3%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
MOU
2 - 2
NEX
12%
20%
69%
|
69 | 25 | 44 | -1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FCS
3 - 1
LUZ
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
WAN
0 - 0
FCS
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 3
SIO
8%
18%
74%
|
34 | 75 | 41 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FCS
0 - 0
MUN
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
FCS
3 - 1
FCB
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |