Europa League 1/16
Global 1-1
Neuchâtel Xamax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
NEX
7 - 2
LOC
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
FCL
2 - 1
NEX
31%
26%
44%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
GRO
0 - 0
NEX
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
SIO
0 - 1
NEX
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1986 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCW
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
GRO
1 - 1
SPA
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
PSV
6 - 1
GRO
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
GRO
6 - 0
EXC
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
GRO
0 - 0
NEX
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
ADO
1 - 1
GRO
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | -1 |