Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
54%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
8º
8º
61
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FCV
2 - 1
NEX
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
NEX
6 - 2
SCH
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
THU
2 - 1
NEX
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
FCL
3 - 1
NEX
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
NEX
4 - 0
STA
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 2
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCA
17%
22%
61%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 2
ETO
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
WIL
2 - 2
FCA
25%
24%
50%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 0
NEX
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |