Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
54.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
7º
4º
43
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 0
NEX
37%
27%
37%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCV
24%
23%
53%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 2
NEX
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
BAD
0 - 4
NEX
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
NEX
2 - 2
WIL
29%
25%
47%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
WIL
53%
23%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 0
SIO
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
STA
4 - 0
FCA
29%
24%
47%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 2
THU
36%
25%
40%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
SCH
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |