Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
58.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
10º
10º
57
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 2
NEX
60%
23%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
WIL
3 - 2
NEX
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
NEX
2 - 3
LAU
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
THU
1 - 0
NEX
59%
23%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
SCH
27%
24%
50%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 0
BEL
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 2
FCA
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 2
YVE
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
LAU
4 - 1
FCA
42%
24%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 0
THU
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |