Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
NEX
0 - 1
STA
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
SCH
2 - 0
NEX
30%
25%
46%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
CHI
3 - 2
NEX
17%
23%
61%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FCA
3 - 1
NEX
39%
25%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
NEX
2 - 1
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
FCA
3 - 1
WIN
33%
24%
43%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
FCA
0 - 1
GCZ
33%
24%
43%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
FCA
2 - 2
KRI
43%
24%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
THU
1 - 0
FCA
59%
22%
20%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FCA
3 - 1
NEX
39%
25%
37%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |