Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SIO
1 - 0
NEX
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SEN
1 - 2
NEX
10%
18%
72%
|
76 | 38 | 38 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
NEX
4 - 2
STG
55%
23%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ZUR
1 - 2
NEX
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 0
SIO
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
FCA
1 - 2
BEL
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BIE
3 - 2
FCA
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
YOB
4 - 0
FCA
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 2
BAS
16%
21%
62%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |