Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
SIO
2 - 0
NEX
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
BEL
0 - 0
NEX
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
GCZ
2 - 0
NEX
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
NEX
3 - 1
YOB
28%
24%
47%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
BAS
3 - 0
NEX
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
FCA
0 - 2
YOB
24%
24%
52%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
FCA
1 - 2
GCZ
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
FCL
2 - 0
FCA
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
FCA
3 - 1
STG
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |