Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
YVE
4 - 1
NEX
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
NEX
1 - 0
SCH
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
YOB
3 - 2
NEX
72%
18%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
GCZ
3 - 0
NEX
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
NEX
0 - 1
STG
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
FCA
1 - 0
YOB
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
STG
2 - 1
FCA
62%
21%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
FCA
2 - 1
THU
29%
25%
47%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
SCH
0 - 1
FCA
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |