Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
WIL
2 - 1
NEX
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
NEX
1 - 1
BAS
27%
24%
50%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
THU
1 - 1
NEX
48%
24%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
FCL
0 - 1
NEX
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
NEX
2 - 1
SER
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
GCZ
3 - 0
FCA
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
FCA
0 - 0
WIL
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
BAS
4 - 0
FCA
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
THU
2 - 0
FCA
53%
23%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCL
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |