Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
STG
1 - 1
NEX
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
ZUR
1 - 3
NEX
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1995 |
NEX
0 - 0
CRV
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
NEX
3 - 0
SIO
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1995 |
FCL
3 - 2
NEX
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
FCA
2 - 0
BAS
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCA
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
FCA
2 - 4
SER
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
SIO
2 - 1
FCA
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1995 |
FCA
0 - 0
YOB
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |