Neuchâtel Xamax vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
NEX
1 - 1
BRE
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
OLD
2 - 1
NEX
15%
21%
65%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
DEL
2 - 2
NEX
14%
21%
66%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
BAD
2 - 1
NEX
11%
19%
70%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
NEX
2 - 0
BAD
82%
13%
6%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ETO
2 - 1
OLD
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
LOC
0 - 1
ETO
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
ETO
1 - 2
TUG
47%
23%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2014 |
ETO
3 - 2
SER
20%
22%
58%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
ETO
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |