Neuchâtel Xamax vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
BLA
1 - 4
NEX
12%
20%
68%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
NEX
4 - 1
THU
86%
10%
4%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ZOF
2 - 4
NEX
11%
20%
69%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NEX
4 - 0
FCG
84%
11%
5%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
FCS
1 - 1
NEX
12%
20%
68%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
LUZ
60%
20%
20%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
WAN
4 - 1
CON
22%
22%
57%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -3 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
MUN
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SOL
4 - 0
CON
15%
19%
66%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
SCH
76%
14%
10%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |