Neuchâtel Xamax vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LIE
0 - 6
NEX
13%
21%
66%
|
68 | 24 | 44 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
NEX
5 - 0
LAU
85%
11%
4%
|
66 | 16 | 50 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
NEX
5 - 0
MOU
83%
12%
5%
|
68 | 28 | 40 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
NEX
2 - 0
ALL
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 20 | 48 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NEX
3 - 1
POR
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 23 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CON
5 - 0
LIE
87%
9%
4%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ALL
4 - 5
CON
11%
18%
71%
|
55 | 20 | 35 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CON
6 - 0
LAU
89%
8%
3%
|
56 | 19 | 37 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
MOU
86%
10%
5%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
POR
4 - 3
CON
9%
17%
73%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |