Neuchâtel Xamax vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
52.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
NEX
1 - 1
BAS
23%
22%
55%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LAU
1 - 3
NEX
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SIO
2 - 0
NEX
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
NEX
3 - 1
ZUR
23%
23%
54%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SER
2 - 1
NEX
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 4
EGY
91%
7%
2%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
BYM
7 - 0
BAS
73%
16%
10%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GCZ
0 - 2
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCL
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
ZUR
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |