Neuchâtel Xamax vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 4
NEX
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FCL
2 - 1
NEX
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
NEX
1 - 3
SIO
51%
24%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
STG
1 - 1
NEX
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
NEX
3 - 0
ZUR
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
DIY
1 - 3
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
GCZ
3 - 1
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
ZUR
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 1
KRR
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCL
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |