Neuchâtel Xamax vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
LAC
0 - 2
NEX
19%
22%
59%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
NEX
3 - 2
FCL
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
SER
1 - 1
NEX
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
NEX
2 - 2
ZUR
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
STG
0 - 2
NEX
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2003 |
DEP
1 - 0
BAS
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
YVE
0 - 3
BAS
24%
24%
53%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 0
DEP
40%
24%
36%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2002 |
JUV
4 - 0
BAS
66%
21%
14%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
WIL
1 - 4
BAS
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |