Neuchâtel Xamax vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
FCA
4 - 1
NEX
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
ZUR
2 - 1
NEX
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
NEX
1 - 2
LAU
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
FCL
1 - 1
NEX
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
NEX
3 - 2
SER
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 0
LUG
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 3
BAS
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
BAS
0 - 0
ZUR
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
STG
1 - 1
BAS
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
LAU
1 - 0
BAS
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |