Neuchâtel Xamax vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
SER
0 - 0
NEX
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
DYN
0 - 0
NEX
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
GCZ
0 - 0
NEX
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
NEX
2 - 0
FCA
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
NEX
3 - 0
STG
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCA
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 4
LAU
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 2
FCL
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAS
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |