Neuchâtel Xamax vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
38.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
NEX
2 - 0
CSC
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
YOB
4 - 1
NEX
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
NEX
2 - 1
NOB
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
LAU
0 - 2
NEX
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
NEX
0 - 2
ZUR
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
BAS
2 - 0
SIO
82%
12%
6%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
CSC
1 - 0
BAS
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
BAS
4 - 1
SER
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
YOB
2 - 0
BAS
41%
23%
36%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
BAS
4 - 0
CHI
83%
11%
5%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |