Neuchâtel Xamax vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
7º
4º
26
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
NEX
6 - 1
BRE
59%
21%
21%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
NEX
2 - 4
BIE
60%
20%
19%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
NEX
6 - 1
NAT
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
NEX
1 - 1
GCZ
16%
20%
64%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCA
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 2
KRI
40%
22%
38%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BAD
4 - 1
WOH
81%
12%
7%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BAD
0 - 2
THU
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 0
BAD
55%
23%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
3 - 1
BAD
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |