Neuchâtel Xamax vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
7º
4º
26
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 0
NEX
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
NEX
0 - 1
YOB
13%
19%
68%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
BEL
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 1
NEX
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VFR
0 - 8
NEX
5%
11%
84%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | -1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAD
2 - 0
STA
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KRI
4 - 0
BAD
31%
23%
46%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAD
67%
21%
13%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BAD
0 - 5
WIL
21%
23%
56%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
AFA
0 - 4
BAD
5%
10%
85%
|
55 | 8 | 47 | 0 |