Neuchâtel Xamax vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
FCV
2 - 4
NEX
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
NEX
0 - 1
ZUR
28%
24%
48%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
NEX
4 - 1
GCZ
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
YOB
0 - 0
NEX
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
NEX
2 - 3
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 1
YOB
24%
23%
53%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
GCZ
1 - 3
BEL
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 0
FCL
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
BEL
75%
16%
8%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 2
FCA
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |