Nespereira CD vs Racing Castrelos B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
61.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-80%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nespereira CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MOL
4 - 1
NES
74%
14%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NES
2 - 4
CLU
13%
16%
71%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SRC
8 - 1
NES
61%
18%
21%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CHO
6 - 0
NES
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NES
0 - 4
TEI
35%
22%
43%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Castrelos B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CLU
2 - 3
RCA
69%
16%
15%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
RCA
3 - 3
SRC
54%
19%
26%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LAV
2 - 2
RCA
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
RCA
4 - 2
SES
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
DES
1 - 3
RCA
19%
19%
62%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |