Nesodden vs Tromso II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2012 |
OST
0 - 1
NES
45%
23%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
NES
2 - 2
MOI
58%
20%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
FRI
4 - 2
NES
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
NES
1 - 0
FIN
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
GFC
1 - 1
NES
34%
24%
43%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Tromso II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 2
KVI
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 4
MJO
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
OST
3 - 0
TRO
34%
22%
44%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 0
MOI
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FRI
5 - 2
TRO
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |